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That helps to elucidate why the quarterly mark-to-market losses Berkshire reported on the contracts weren’t bigger, given massive moves in currencies and equity indices in 2008 and 2009. But in resolving one mystery it created one other, because valuing massive put choices is usually easy, even when like Mr Buffett you dislike the theoretical basis for doing so, and Berkshire’s commentary and disclosure has always indicated that the contracts are of the plain vanilla selection.
This has prompted the nice professor to come back again with a brand new question: so what sort of puts did Warren Buffett promote, exactly? And in trying to reply it he has found that to Lehman Brothers at least, Berkshire appears to have offered some exotic derivatives certainly (which might raise one other question, were they properly disclosed?).
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